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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 12, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadium of Light
Leeds logo

Sunderland
1 - 0
Leeds

Bellingham (78')
O'Nien (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gray (28'), Ampadu (64'), James (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 West Brom
Saturday, December 9 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 0-2 Leeds
Saturday, December 9 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 1-1 Leeds United

Leeds United are full of momentum under Daniel Farke and will be keen to avoid any more slip-ups in their pursuit of a top-two place, but a trip to the Stadium of Light is no easy task, and we fancy a rejuvenated Black Cats side to take a share of the spoils in Tuesday's top-six clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.97%) and 2-0 (5.57%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
SunderlandDrawLeeds United
39.55% (-0.299 -0.3) 23.7% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 36.75% (0.25 0.25)
Both teams to score 62.57% (-0.15799999999999 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.58% (-0.21299999999999 -0.21)39.41% (0.21299999999999 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.24% (-0.225 -0.23)61.75% (0.223 0.22)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.78% (-0.229 -0.23)20.22% (0.229 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.46% (-0.37 -0.37)52.53% (0.369 0.37)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.43% (0.028000000000006 0.03)21.57% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.34% (0.045000000000002 0.05)54.65% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 39.55%
    Leeds United 36.75%
    Draw 23.7%
SunderlandDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.97% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.57% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.49% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.97% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 39.55%
1-1 @ 10.69% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.56% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.36% (0.043 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.79% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.7%
1-2 @ 8.2% (0.039 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.69% (0.072 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.13% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.19% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.35% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.62% (0.034 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.61% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.29% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 36.75%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Leeds

Sunderland
22.2%
Draw
17.5%
Leeds United
60.3%
63
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2018 3pm
Leeds
1-1
Sunderland
Hernandez (72')
O'Connor (75'), Alioski (83'), Jansson (90')
Berardi (90')
McNair (49')
Honeyman (12'), Kone (70'), McManaman (90')
Aug 19, 2017 5.30pm
Sunderland
0-2
Leeds

Galloway (36'), Kone (69'), Ndong (82')
Saiz (21'), Dallas (76')
Wiedwald (68')
Jan 4, 2015 1pm
Dec 26, 2006 3pm
Sep 13, 2006 3pm
Leeds
0-3
Sunderland

Westlake (16'), Butler (21'), Nicholls (73'), Kelly (90'), Douglas (90')
Miller (28'), Kavanagh (45')
Kavanagh (7'), Miller (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1695226121432
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall166641914524
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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