Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Leeds 2-0 QPR Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Swansea City 0-1 Leeds United
Fresh off the back of an international break, Leeds should pose a serious threat on the road in South Wales and should have enough to earn a rare away victory.
That being said, Swansea's defence has been one of the best in the Championship in recent times, so we are not expecting the hosts to be blown away on Sunday afternoon.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 42.94% . A win for Swansea City had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.5% .
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.73%) . The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (8.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%) . The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
Result Swansea City Draw Leeds United 30.59% ( 4.23) 26.47% ( 2.27) 42.94% ( -6.51)
Both teams to score 51.28% ( -4.41)
46.69% ( -7.08) 53.31% ( 7.08)
25.14% ( -6.33) 74.86% ( 6.33)
68.02% ( -0.52) 31.98% ( 0.52)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 31.56% ( -0.6) 68.44% ( 0.6)
75.38% ( -5.86) 24.61% ( 5.86)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 40.88% ( -8.97) 59.12% ( 8.97)
Swansea City 30.59%
Leeds United 42.94%
Draw 26.47%
Swansea City Draw Leeds United 1-0 @ 8.97% ( 2.15) 2-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.57) 2-0 @ 5.12% ( 1.17) 3-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.42) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.75% Total : 30.59% 1-1 @ 12.58% ( 1.16) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( 1.97) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.5) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.47% 0-1 @ 11.03% ( 1.16) 1-2 @ 8.82% ( -0.74) 0-2 @ 7.73% ( -0.53) 1-3 @ 4.12% ( -1.21) 0-3 @ 3.61% ( -1) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.73) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.79) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.66) Other @ 2.56% Total : 42.94%
How you voted: Swansea vs Leeds
Swansea City
Draw
Leeds United
92
rhs 2.0
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