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Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Leeds logo

Swansea
3 - 4
Leeds

Darling (8'), Cullen (45+3'), Bianchini (90')
Peart-Harris (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Solomon (20', 73'), Cabango (55' og.), Gnonto (90+1')
James (53'), Byram (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Swansea
Sunday, November 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 2-0 QPR
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 0-1 Leeds United

Fresh off the back of an international break, Leeds should pose a serious threat on the road in South Wales and should have enough to earn a rare away victory. That being said, Swansea's defence has been one of the best in the Championship in recent times, so we are not expecting the hosts to be blown away on Sunday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawLeeds United
30.59% (4.232 4.23) 26.47% (2.274 2.27) 42.94% (-6.505 -6.51)
Both teams to score 51.28% (-4.409 -4.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.69% (-7.081 -7.08)53.31% (7.082 7.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.14% (-6.333 -6.33)74.86% (6.335 6.33)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.02% (-0.521 -0.52)31.98% (0.522 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.56% (-0.598 -0.6)68.44% (0.599 0.6)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.38% (-5.857 -5.86)24.61% (5.857 5.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.88% (-8.97 -8.97)59.12% (8.97 8.97)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 30.59%
    Leeds United 42.94%
    Draw 26.47%
Swansea CityDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 8.97% (2.15 2.15)
2-1 @ 7.17% (0.566 0.57)
2-0 @ 5.12% (1.17 1.17)
3-1 @ 2.73% (0.179 0.18)
3-0 @ 1.94% (0.423 0.42)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.221 -0.22)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 30.59%
1-1 @ 12.58% (1.16 1.16)
0-0 @ 7.87% (1.971 1.97)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.5 -0.5)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 11.03% (1.156 1.16)
1-2 @ 8.82% (-0.739 -0.74)
0-2 @ 7.73% (-0.529 -0.53)
1-3 @ 4.12% (-1.212 -1.21)
0-3 @ 3.61% (-0.996 -1)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.734 -0.73)
1-4 @ 1.44% (-0.787 -0.79)
0-4 @ 1.27% (-0.662 -0.66)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 42.94%

How you voted: Swansea vs Leeds

Swansea City
15.2%
Draw
18.5%
Leeds United
66.3%
92
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Swansea
0-4
Leeds

Wood (28'), Tymon (42'), Allen (68')
Summerville (8'), Piroe (10'), Gnonto (35', 72')
Piroe (65')
Nov 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Leeds
3-1
Swansea
Piroe (4'), Rutter (45+3'), James (61')
Paterson (1')
Lowe (73')
Jul 12, 2020 1.30pm
Aug 31, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 6
Leeds
0-1
Swansea

Alioski (21'), Phillips (95')
Routledge (90')
Fulton (78'), Byers (95')
Feb 13, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Leeds
2-1
Swansea
Jansson (20'), Harrison (34')
Harrison (94')
McBurnie (87' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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