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Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Preston North End logo

Swansea
2 - 1
Preston

Paterson (60', 90+5')
Grimes (30'), Lowe (32'), Lowe (32'), Cabango (38'), Paterson (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Millar (67')
McCann (45+5'), Holmes (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 1-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 1-5 Watford
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Preston North End

This is a game between two sides that are increasingly eager to get three points on the board on a more regular basis. However, we expect a tense encounter, one which may may end in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 47.33%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawPreston North End
47.33% (0.073 0.07) 25.62% (-0.038 -0.04) 27.05% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 51.72% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.28% (0.136 0.14)51.72% (-0.135 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.51% (0.116 0.12)73.5% (-0.116 -0.12)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.15% (0.088999999999999 0.09)21.86% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.91% (0.136 0.14)55.09% (-0.136 -0.14)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.18% (0.042999999999992 0.04)33.82% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.52% (0.047999999999998 0.05)70.49% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 47.33%
    Preston North End 27.05%
    Draw 25.62%
Swansea CityDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 11.24% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.55%
3-1 @ 4.7% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.33% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.65% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 47.33%
1-1 @ 12.18% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.39% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 8.01% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.61% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.34% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.39% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 27.05%

How you voted: Swansea vs Preston

Swansea City
37.0%
Draw
22.2%
Preston North End
40.7%
27
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Preston
2-1
Swansea
Hughes (67'), Holmes (79')
Ledson (11'), Browne (48')
Ashby (33')
N (48')
Apr 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 43
Swansea
4-2
Preston
Piroe (2', 90+4'), Allen (35'), Darling (44')
Cannon (48'), Parrott (71')
Nov 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Preston
1-0
Swansea
Potts (30')
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Swansea
1-0
Preston
Manning (51')
Manning (13'), Latibeaudiere (87'), Smith (88')

Cunningham (65'), Evans (87'), Bauer (90+1')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 5
Preston
3-1
Swansea
Van den Berg (21'), Riis Jakobsen (45+1'), Whiteman (52')
Ledson (59'), Johnson (61'), Whiteman (71'), Sinclair (85')
Piroe (19')
Benda (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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