Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Swindon Town | Draw | Grimsby Town |
38.69% ( 0.17) | 26.24% ( 0) | 35.07% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 53.33% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.72% ( -0.04) | 51.28% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.89% ( -0.03) | 73.11% ( 0.03) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.08% ( 0.07) | 25.92% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.08% ( 0.1) | 60.92% ( -0.1) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.99% ( -0.12) | 28.01% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.34% ( -0.15) | 63.66% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Swindon Town | Draw | Grimsby Town |
1-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 38.69% | 1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.23% | 0-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 35.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 58 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 46 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 46 |
4 | Port Vale | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 45 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Notts County | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 44 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 44 |
8 | Salford City | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 27 | 12 | 2 | 13 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 38 |
10 | Chesterfield | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 36 |
11 | Bromley | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 35 |
12 | MK Dons | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 35 |
13 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 34 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 33 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 31 |
17 | Gillingham | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 31 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 31 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 29 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 28 |
21 | Newport CountyNewport | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 26 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 26 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 21 |
24 | Morecambe | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 20 |
> League Two Full Table |