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Championship header 2

League Two
Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 16
Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Swindon Town

Accrington
2 - 2
Swindon

Aljofree (16'), Rawson (30')
Woods (77'), Costelloe (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Smith (11'), Butterworth (69')
Butterworth (36'), McGregor (53'), Glatzel (59'), Delaney (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Chesterfield 0-3 Accrington
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 3-1 Swindon
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-0 Swindon Town

 Considering their solid record at Wham Stadium so far this season, we are expecting Accrington to pick up at least a point from this fixture. Swindon are hovering above the danger zone in League Two, and we believe that the Robins will fail to earn anything from their trip to the 'Owd Reds. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawSwindon Town
30.85% (0.318 0.32) 24.69% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 44.46% (-0.316 -0.32)
Both teams to score 57.17% (0.167 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.29% (0.145 0.15)45.71% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.97% (0.139 0.14)68.03% (-0.137 -0.14)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.03% (0.282 0.28)27.97% (-0.282 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.4% (0.358 0.36)63.6% (-0.358 -0.36)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.36% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)20.64% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.79% (-0.126 -0.13)53.21% (0.127 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 30.85%
    Swindon Town 44.46%
    Draw 24.69%
Accrington StanleyDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 7.39% (0.053 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.36% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.69% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.14% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.99% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 1% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 30.85%
1-1 @ 11.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.027 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.77% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.69%
1-2 @ 9.16% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-1 @ 9.11% (-0.078999999999999 -0.08)
0-2 @ 7.19% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-3 @ 4.82% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.78% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.07% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.9% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.49% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 44.46%

How you voted: Accrington vs Swindon

Accrington Stanley
65.4%
Draw
19.2%
Swindon Town
15.4%
26
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Swindon
1-2
Accrington
Drinan (47')
McEachran (30'), Blake-Tracy (59')
Nolan (57' pen.), Henderson (82')
Leigh (14'), Mellor (90')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Accrington
3-4
Swindon
Adedoyin (90+2'), Hills (90+7', 90+10')
Bagueloc'rich (6'), McCracken (17'), Conneely (18'), Hills (29'), Longelo-Mbule (33'), Lowe (87')
Coleman (7')
Kemp (17' pen.), Young (31'), Khan (60'), Austin (89')
Kemp (25'), Young (49')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 34
Accrington
2-1
Swindon
Charles (11'), Bishop (44')
Hughes (31'), Butcher (45+2'), Burgess (59')
Pitman (30')
Nov 17, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 9
Swindon
0-3
Accrington

Grounds (73')
Fryer (6' og.), Bishop (25'), Charles (38')
May 5, 2018 3pm
Swindon
3-0
Accrington
Richards (14'), Anderson (43'), Mullin (55')
Dunne (85')

Dunne (76')
Dunne (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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