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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Swindon Town |
30.85% ( 0.32) | 24.69% ( -0) | 44.46% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 57.17% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.29% ( 0.15) | 45.71% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.97% ( 0.14) | 68.03% ( -0.14) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.03% ( 0.28) | 27.97% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.4% ( 0.36) | 63.6% ( -0.36) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.36% ( -0.08) | 20.64% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.79% ( -0.13) | 53.21% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Swindon Town |
2-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.36% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.81% Total : 30.85% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.69% | 1-2 @ 9.16% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 4.82% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 44.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
14 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
15 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 19 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
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