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Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 16
Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Swindon Town

Accrington
2 - 2
Swindon

Aljofree (16'), Rawson (30')
Woods (77'), Costelloe (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Smith (11'), Butterworth (69')
Butterworth (36'), McGregor (53'), Glatzel (59'), Delaney (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 3-1 Swindon
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-0 Swindon Town

Considering their solid record at Wham Stadium so far this season, we are expecting Accrington to pick up at least a point from this fixture. Swindon are hovering above the danger zone in League Two, and we believe that the Robins will fail to earn anything from their trip to the 'Owd Reds. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawSwindon Town
30.85% (0.318 0.32) 24.69% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 44.46% (-0.316 -0.32)
Both teams to score 57.17% (0.167 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.29% (0.145 0.15)45.71% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.97% (0.139 0.14)68.03% (-0.137 -0.14)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.03% (0.282 0.28)27.97% (-0.282 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.4% (0.358 0.36)63.6% (-0.358 -0.36)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.36% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)20.64% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.79% (-0.126 -0.13)53.21% (0.127 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 30.85%
    Swindon Town 44.46%
    Draw 24.69%
Accrington StanleyDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 7.39% (0.053 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.36% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.69% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.14% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.99% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 1% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 30.85%
1-1 @ 11.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.027 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.77% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.69%
1-2 @ 9.16% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-1 @ 9.11% (-0.078999999999999 -0.08)
0-2 @ 7.19% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-3 @ 4.82% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.78% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.07% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.9% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.49% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 44.46%

How you voted: Accrington vs Swindon

Accrington Stanley
65.4%
Draw
19.2%
Swindon Town
15.4%
26
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Swindon
1-2
Accrington
Drinan (47')
McEachran (30'), Blake-Tracy (59')
Nolan (57' pen.), Henderson (82')
Leigh (14'), Mellor (90')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Accrington
3-4
Swindon
Adedoyin (90+2'), Hills (90+7', 90+10')
Bagueloc'rich (6'), McCracken (17'), Conneely (18'), Hills (29'), Longelo-Mbule (33'), Lowe (87')
Coleman (7')
Kemp (17' pen.), Young (31'), Khan (60'), Austin (89')
Kemp (25'), Young (49')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 34
Accrington
2-1
Swindon
Charles (11'), Bishop (44')
Hughes (31'), Butcher (45+2'), Burgess (59')
Pitman (30')
Nov 17, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 9
Swindon
0-3
Accrington

Grounds (73')
Fryer (6' og.), Bishop (25'), Charles (38')
May 5, 2018 3pm
Swindon
3-0
Accrington
Richards (14'), Anderson (43'), Mullin (55')
Dunne (85')

Dunne (76')
Dunne (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
3Port Vale2010642619736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham209382218430
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
14BarrowBarrow207582018226
15Bromley195952323024
16Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
18Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
20Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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