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Championship header 2

League Two
Tranmere Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 40
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Prenton Park
Crawley Town

Tranmere
1 - 3
Crawley

Norris (21')
Jennings (35')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Kelley (2'), Williams (10'), Orsi (79')
Kelley (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Tranmere Rovers and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tranmere Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Wrexham 0-1 Tranmere
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Crawley 1-1 Stockport
Monday, March 18 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Tranmere Rovers 1-2 Crawley Town

 Tranmere have been brilliant at home for the majority of this season but they have fallen to two defeats at Prenton Park in their last six games, while Crawley have won three of their last four games on the road. The visitors have been victorious in both of the previous two meetings between these sides, scoring at least two in each of these games, and we expect them to repeat this on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawCrawley Town
39.02% (0.115 0.12) 24.84% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03) 36.14% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 58.26% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.02% (0.122 0.12)44.98% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.66% (0.117 0.12)67.33% (-0.11500000000001 -0.12)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09% (0.113 0.11)22.9% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.34% (0.16500000000001 0.17)56.66% (-0.164 -0.16)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.57% (0.007000000000005 0.01)24.43% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.14% (0.011000000000003 0.01)58.85% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 39.02%
    Crawley Town 36.14%
    Draw 24.84%
Tranmere RoversDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 8.57% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.25% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.08% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.21% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.99% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.55% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.1% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 39.02%
1-1 @ 11.62% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.59% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.84%
1-2 @ 8.19% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.89% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.56% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.85% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.84% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.61% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1% (0.003 0)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 36.14%

How you voted: Tranmere vs Crawley

Tranmere Rovers
14.3%
Draw
23.8%
Crawley Town
61.9%
21
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Crawley
3-2
Tranmere
Darcy (61'), Tsaroulla (68'), Lolas (90+6')
Gladwin (33'), Darcy (56'), Wright (76'), Lolas (90+7'), Khaleel (90+7')
Jolley (21'), Taylor (66')
Walker (45+2'), Jolley (60'), Pike (74'), Yarney (89'), Hendry (90+4')
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Crawley
2-1
Tranmere
Oteh (30'), Powell (40')
Saunders (8')
Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Tranmere
1-0
Crawley
Turnbull (68')
> Preview
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Crawley
0-1
Tranmere

Craig (72')
Spearing (65')
Spearing (86'), Hemmings (87')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Crawley
0-1
Tranmere

Davies (25'), Appiah (69'), Francillette (89')
McManaman (38')
Nevitt (3'), Clarke (89'), Dieseruvwe (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall31196659342563
2AFC Wimbledon30167743202355
3Bradford CityBradford31159740281254
4Notts County30158747291853
5Port Vale30141063932752
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster3115794539652
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe32121373631549
8Salford City3113993830848
9Grimsby Town31153134447-348
10Chesterfield301191049371242
11Bromley31101294140142
12Colchester UnitedColchester3091473530541
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham30118114043-341
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood301010103936340
15Newport CountyNewport31117134147-640
16MK Dons31116144444039
17Swindon TownSwindon32911124648-238
18BarrowBarrow31107143436-237
19Gillingham3097142633-734
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3296172642-1633
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3079143448-1430
22Tranmere RoversTranmere31610152249-2728
23Morecambe3175192948-1926
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3157192349-2622
> League Two Full Table


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