Serie A | Gameweek 11
Nov 2, 2024 at 5pm UK
Dacia Arena
Udinese0 - 2Juventus
We said: Udinese 1-2 Juventus
It is not easy to get the better of Udinese on home turf - where they have lost only once this term, conceding less than one goal per game - but Juventus are due a win and have history on their side. The Turin giants have dominated this all-Bianconeri contest down the decades and have enough firepower to come out on top - providing they can keep the back door shut. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Udinese | Draw | Juventus |
30.55% ( 0.43) | 26.89% ( 0.37) | 42.55% ( -0.81) |
| Both teams to score 49.96% ( -0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.01% ( -1.28) | 54.99% ( 1.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.74% ( -1.07) | 76.26% ( 1.07) |
| Udinese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.13% ( -0.35) | 32.87% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.55% ( -0.39) | 69.45% ( 0.39) |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.43% ( -0.98) | 25.57% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.56% ( -1.36) | 60.44% ( 1.37) |
| Score Analysis |
Udinese 30.55%
Juventus 42.55%
Draw 26.89%
| Udinese | Draw | Juventus |
| 1-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.56% Total : 30.55% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.41)2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.89% | 0-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 7.82% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.95% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.31% Total : 42.55% |
How you voted: Udinese vs Juventus
Udinese
15.7%Draw
16.5%Juventus
67.8%115
