Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 48.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 24.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.56%) and 1-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Genoa win it was 1-0 (8.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | Juventus |
24.71% ( 0.08) | 26.72% ( 0.05) | 48.57% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 46.59% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.57% ( -0.13) | 57.43% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.76% ( -0.11) | 78.24% ( 0.11) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.07% | 38.93% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.34% ( 0) | 75.66% ( -0) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.29% ( -0.12) | 23.71% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.16% ( -0.18) | 57.84% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Genoa | Draw | Juventus |
1-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.86% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.34% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.49% Total : 24.71% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.7% Total : 26.71% | 0-1 @ 13.28% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.56% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.02% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 48.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 16 |
2 | Inter Milan | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 14 |
3 | Udinese | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 13 |
4 | Juventus | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 13 |
5 | Lazio | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
6 | AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 11 |
7 | Torino | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 11 |
8 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 10 |
9 | Empoli | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 |
10 | Roma | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
11 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 9 |
12 | Bologna | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 |
13 | Como | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
14 | Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 6 |
16 | Parma | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 6 |
17 | Lecce | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 5 |
18 | Genoa | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 5 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 4 |
20 | Monza | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
> Serie A Full Table |