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Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Juventus logo

Inter Milan
4 - 4
Juventus

Zielinski (15' pen., 37' pen.), Mkhitaryan (35'), Dumfries (53')
Pavard (59'), Dumfries (75')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Vlahovic (20'), Weah (26'), Yildiz (71', 82')
Danilo (52'), Cabal (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Derby d'Italia between Inter Milan and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Young Boys 0-1 Inter Milan
Wednesday, October 23 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Juventus 0-1 Stuttgart
Tuesday, October 22 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Inter Milan 0-0 Juventus

This latest instalment of the Derby d'Italia will be a battle of trophy-winning experience against success-hungry youth: Inter have the highest average age in Serie A this season (29 years and 255 days), while Juventus have the second-lowest, more than five years younger. Both teams are more than capable of keeping clean sheets - in fact, it is written deep within Juve's DNA - so a safety-first stalemate could disappoint an expectant San Siro. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 56.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 20.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Juventus win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawJuventus
56.25% (0.423 0.42) 23.18% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 20.57% (-0.444 -0.44)
Both teams to score 52.04% (-0.704 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.27% (-0.611 -0.61)47.74% (0.61 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.07% (-0.568 -0.57)69.93% (0.566 0.57)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.23% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)16.78% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.28% (-0.124 -0.12)46.72% (0.122 0.12)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.54% (-0.79300000000001 -0.79)37.47% (0.79300000000001 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.75% (-0.788 -0.79)74.25% (0.786 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 56.25%
    Juventus 20.57%
    Draw 23.17%
Inter MilanDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 11.22% (0.26 0.26)
2-0 @ 10.01% (0.201 0.2)
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.96% (0.11 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.85% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.66% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.61% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.035 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.95% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.0079999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 56.25%
1-1 @ 11.01% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.29% (0.158 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.17%
0-1 @ 6.17% (0.024 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.41% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.03% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-3 @ 0.99% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 20.57%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Juventus

Inter Milan
64.1%
Draw
29.0%
Juventus
6.9%
131
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Inter Milan
1-0
Juventus
Gatti (37' og.)
Mkhitaryan (51'), Thuram (77'), Inzaghi (79')

Vlahovic (18'), Danilo (32'), Bremer (87')
Nov 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Juventus
1-1
Inter Milan
Vlahovic (27')
Cambiaso (11'), Kostic (79')
Martinez (33')
Cuadrado (75')
Apr 26, 2023 8pm
Apr 4, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Juventus
1-1
Inter Milan
Cuadrado (83')
Lukaku (90+5' pen.)
Mar 19, 2023 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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