Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 47.86%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 26.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Udinese | Draw | Napoli |
26.37% ( 0.34) | 25.76% ( 0.02) | 47.86% ( -0.36) |
Both teams to score 50.75% ( 0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.27% ( 0.18) | 52.72% ( -0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.64% ( 0.15) | 74.36% ( -0.15) |
Udinese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.09% ( 0.38) | 34.9% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.35% ( 0.4) | 71.64% ( -0.4) |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.96% ( -0.09) | 22.03% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.63% ( -0.13) | 55.36% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Udinese | Draw | Napoli |
1-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.11% Total : 26.37% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 9.26% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 4.67% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 47.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 47 |
2 | Inter Milan | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 20 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 34 |
6 | Fiorentina | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 31 |
8 | Bologna | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 29 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Roma | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Genoa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 13 |
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