MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 10:51:16| >> :60:451:451:
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 17, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Olimpico Atahualpa

U. Catolica
0 - 0
Alianza Petrolera


Nieto (44'), Cifuente (70'), Rodriguez (90+3'), Martinez (90+3')
Martinez (90+6')
FT

Franco (11'), Renteria (13'), Saldana (53'), Grazziani (79'), Colpa (90+4')
Simarra (30')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Universidad Catolica and Alianza Petrolera.

Form, Standings, Stats

Universidad Catolica

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Last Game: U. Catolica 4-0 Union La Calera
Friday, May 10 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
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Alianza Petrolera

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Last Game: Alianza Petrolera 0-3 Cruzeiro
Wednesday, May 8 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 73.97%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Alianza Petrolera had a probability of 9.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.96%) and 3-0 (10.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for an Alianza Petrolera win it was 0-1 (3.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Universidad CatolicaDrawAlianza Petrolera
73.97% (0.26000000000001 0.26) 16.8% (-0.336 -0.34) 9.22% (0.072900000000001 0.07)
Both teams to score 43.65% (1.413 1.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.51% (1.738 1.74)43.49% (-1.742 -1.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.11% (1.688 1.69)65.88% (-1.692 -1.69)
Universidad Catolica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.79% (0.52500000000001 0.53)10.2% (-0.53 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.5% (1.192 1.19)33.49% (-1.196 -1.2)
Alianza Petrolera Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.61% (1.296 1.3)51.38% (-1.299 -1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.4% (0.847 0.85)85.6% (-0.84999999999999 -0.85)
Score Analysis
    Universidad Catolica 73.96%
    Alianza Petrolera 9.22%
    Draw 16.8%
Universidad CatolicaDrawAlianza Petrolera
2-0 @ 13.65% (-0.43 -0.43)
1-0 @ 11.96% (-0.66 -0.66)
3-0 @ 10.39% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.067 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.92% (0.204 0.2)
4-0 @ 5.93% (0.083 0.08)
4-1 @ 3.95% (0.201 0.2)
5-0 @ 2.71% (0.097 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.151 0.15)
5-1 @ 1.8% (0.13 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.114 0.11)
6-0 @ 1.03% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 73.96%
1-1 @ 7.97% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 5.24% (-0.412 -0.41)
2-2 @ 3.03% (0.135 0.14)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 16.8%
0-1 @ 3.49% (-0.133 -0.13)
1-2 @ 2.65% (0.061 0.06)
0-2 @ 1.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 9.22%

Head to Head
Apr 24, 2024 3am
Group Stage
Alianza Petrolera
1-3
U. Catolica
Batalla (8')
Meza (22'), Franco (29')
Franco (56' og.), Cifuente (68'), Diaz (78')
Vallecilla (38'), Loor (45+2'), Grillo (50')
rhs 2.0
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