Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 6, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Felix Capriles
Universitario de Vinto0 - 2Nacional
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Universitario de Vinto and Nacional Potosi.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: El Nacional 3-1 Nacional
Thursday, February 16 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, February 16 at 12am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitario de Vinto win with a probability of 51.53%. A win for Nacional Potosi had a probability of 24.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universitario de Vinto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Nacional Potosi win was 0-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Universitario de Vinto | Draw | Nacional Potosi |
51.53% ( 0.19) | 24.08% ( -0.17) | 24.39% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 54.1% ( 0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.59% ( 0.68) | 47.4% ( -0.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.38% ( 0.63) | 69.62% ( -0.63) |
Universitario de Vinto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.61% ( 0.34) | 18.39% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.46% ( 0.57) | 49.53% ( -0.57) |
Nacional Potosi Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.29% ( 0.35) | 33.7% ( -0.35) |