Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 65.07%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 14.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.76%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-0 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Hellas Verona | Draw | Inter Milan |
14.93% ( 0.39) | 20% ( -0.26) | 65.07% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 51.26% ( 1.87) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.81% ( 1.97) | 43.19% ( -1.98) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.41% ( 1.92) | 65.59% ( -1.92) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.58% ( 1.77) | 41.42% ( -1.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.07% ( 1.52) | 77.93% ( -1.53) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.5% ( 0.56) | 12.49% ( -0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.52% ( 1.16) | 38.48% ( -1.16) |
Score Analysis |
Hellas Verona | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.67% Total : 14.93% | 1-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.47) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.23) Other @ 0.99% Total : 20% | 0-2 @ 11.19% ( -0.49) 0-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.72) 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 7.76% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 6.84% ( 0.18) 0-4 @ 4.04% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.56% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.22) 0-5 @ 1.68% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.15) 1-5 @ 1.48% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.31% Total : 65.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 31 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |