Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 64.33%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Torino had a probability of 14.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Torino |
64.33% ( 0.02) | 20.83% ( -0) | 14.84% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 48.34% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.03% ( -0.01) | 46.98% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.78% ( -0.01) | 69.22% ( 0.01) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.13% ( 0.01) | 13.88% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.72% ( 0.01) | 41.29% ( -0) |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.13% ( -0.02) | 43.87% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.99% ( -0.02) | 80.02% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Torino |
1-0 @ 12.02% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.87% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.44% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.86% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.52% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.62% Total : 64.33% | 1-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( -0) Other @ 0.81% Total : 20.83% | 0-1 @ 5.02% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.08% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.07% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 1.45% Total : 14.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
8 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |