Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 64.33%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Torino had a probability of 14.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Torino |
64.33% ( 0.02) | 20.83% ( -0) | 14.84% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 48.34% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.03% ( -0.01) | 46.98% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.78% ( -0.01) | 69.22% ( 0.01) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.13% ( 0.01) | 13.88% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.72% ( 0.01) | 41.29% ( -0) |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.13% ( -0.02) | 43.87% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.99% ( -0.02) | 80.02% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Torino |
1-0 @ 12.02% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.87% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.44% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.86% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.52% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.62% Total : 64.33% | 1-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( -0) Other @ 0.81% Total : 20.83% | 0-1 @ 5.02% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.08% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.07% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 1.45% Total : 14.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 50 |
2 | Inter Milan | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 51 | 18 | 33 | 47 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 21 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 33 |
7 | Bologna | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 33 |
8 | AC Milan | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 31 |
9 | Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 27 |
10 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Torino | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
12 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
13 | CagliariCagliari | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 21 |
14 | Empoli | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 20 |
16 | Lecce | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 36 | -21 | 20 |
17 | Como | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 19 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 19 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
20 | Monza | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |