Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 73.97%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 9.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.05%) and 3-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.67%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Hellas Verona |
73.97% ( 0.01) | 16.17% ( -0) | 9.86% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 48.59% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.59% ( -0.02) | 38.41% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.3% ( -0.03) | 60.7% ( 0.03) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.08% ( -0) | 8.91% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.53% ( -0.01) | 30.46% ( 0.01) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.35% ( -0.04) | 46.65% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.78% ( -0.03) | 82.22% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Hellas Verona |
2-0 @ 12.15% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.47% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.92% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.51% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.86% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.18% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 4.04% Total : 73.96% | 1-1 @ 7.67% 0-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.53% ( -0) Other @ 0.81% Total : 16.17% | 0-1 @ 3.17% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.92% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 9.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 47 |
2 | Inter Milan | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 42 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 19 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
6 | Fiorentina | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 32 |
7 | Bologna | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 29 |
8 | AC Milan | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 28 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Roma | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Genoa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |