Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 58.59%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 19.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Boavista |
58.59% ( -0.33) | 21.81% ( 0.15) | 19.59% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 54.93% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.87% ( -0.39) | 43.12% ( 0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.47% ( -0.39) | 65.52% ( 0.39) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.59% ( -0.23) | 14.4% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.68% ( -0.45) | 42.31% ( 0.45) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.18% ( -0.03) | 35.82% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.4% ( -0.03) | 72.59% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 10% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.69% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.42% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.87% Total : 58.59% | 1-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.8% | 0-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.83% Total : 19.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |