Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Watford 3-0 Stoke
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 1-0 Middlesbrough
Saturday, August 17 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, August 17 at 12.30pm in Championship
We said: Watford 2-0 Derby County
After netting six goals across their opening two Championship matches, Watford will be confident of continuing their rich vein of form in front of goal against Derby. The Rams were impressive as they fought to victory at home against Middlesbrough last time out, but we feel that Paul Warne's side will struggle on the road once again. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Derby County |
44.91% ( -0.08) | 25.36% ( 0.01) | 29.72% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 54.32% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
