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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Watford had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.86%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest Watford win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Leicester City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leicester City.
Result | ||
Watford | Draw | Leicester City |
34.28% ( -0.01) | 23.27% ( -0.02) | 42.44% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 63.69% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.24% ( 0.1) | 37.76% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.99% ( 0.11) | 60% ( -0.11) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.9% ( 0.05) | 22.09% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.54% ( 0.07) | 55.45% ( -0.07) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.75% ( 0.05) | 18.24% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.71% ( 0.09) | 49.29% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Watford | Draw | Leicester City |
2-1 @ 7.82% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.31% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 3.45% Total : 34.28% | 1-1 @ 10.35% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 8.81% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.31% 1-4 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 3.73% Total : 42.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 35 |
2 | Burnley | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 33 |
3 | Sunderland | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 32 |
5 | Watford | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 29 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 17 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 27 |
8 | Millwall | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 22 |
10 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
11 | Bristol City | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 22 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 17 |
19 | Preston North EndPreston | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 17 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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