Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.16%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.
Result | ||
Western United | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
39.51% ( -1.05) | 23.86% ( -0) | 36.63% ( 1.06) |
Both teams to score 61.95% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.77% ( 0.18) | 40.23% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.4% ( 0.18) | 62.6% ( -0.17) |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.42% ( -0.41) | 20.58% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.88% ( -0.66) | 53.12% ( 0.66) |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78% ( 0.63) | 22% ( -0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.69% ( 0.95) | 55.31% ( -0.94) |
Score Analysis |
Western United | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.91% Total : 39.51% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.85% | 1-2 @ 8.21% ( 0.14) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.54% Total : 36.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
2 | Auckland FC | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
4 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Macarthur | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 21 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 21 |
7 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 18 |
9 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
10 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 35 | -26 | 8 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 5 |
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