MX23RW : Saturday, January 18 23:08:05| >> :300:86500:86500:
Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Western United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 15
Jan 17, 2025 at 6am UK
AAMI Park
Newcastle Jets

Western Utd
3 - 1
Newcastle Jets

Danzaki (17'), Botic (37', 54')
Ruhs (77'), Vidmar (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Rose (58')
Bayliss (70')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Newcastle Jets.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Victory 3-4 Western Utd
Friday, January 10 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-3 Macarthur
Sunday, January 12 at 6am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.16%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.

Result
Western UnitedDrawNewcastle Jets
39.51% (-1.047 -1.05) 23.86% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 36.63% (1.058 1.06)
Both teams to score 61.95% (0.183 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.77% (0.175 0.18)40.23% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.4% (0.179 0.18)62.6% (-0.173 -0.17)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.42% (-0.41 -0.41)20.58% (0.416 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.88% (-0.657 -0.66)53.12% (0.664 0.66)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78% (0.63300000000001 0.63)22% (-0.627 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.69% (0.945 0.95)55.31% (-0.94 -0.94)
Score Analysis
    Western United 39.51%
    Newcastle Jets 36.63%
    Draw 23.85%
Western UnitedDrawNewcastle Jets
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.126 -0.13)
1-0 @ 7.16% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-0 @ 5.66% (-0.192 -0.19)
3-1 @ 4.51% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.98% (-0.141 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.78% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 39.51%
1-1 @ 10.83% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.49% (0.027 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.53% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.73% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.85%
1-2 @ 8.21% (0.138 0.14)
0-1 @ 6.86% (0.075 0.08)
0-2 @ 5.19% (0.151 0.15)
1-3 @ 4.14% (0.145 0.15)
2-3 @ 3.27% (0.074 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.62% (0.124 0.12)
1-4 @ 1.57% (0.083 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.24% (0.051 0.05)
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 36.63%

Head to Head
Feb 16, 2024 8.45am
Gameweek 17
Western Utd
2-0
Newcastle Jets
Penha (16' pen.), Botic (55')
Shamoon (36'), Risdon (42')
Donachie (90')
Dec 30, 2023 6.30am
Gameweek 10
Newcastle Jets
2-0
Western Utd
Buhagiar (9', 22')
Stamatelopoulos (45+1'), Aquilina (90+2')
Stamatelopoulos (58')

Tratt (45')
Nov 11, 2023 4.30am
Feb 25, 2023 6am
Gameweek 18
Newcastle Jets
1-3
Western Utd
Mikeltadze (33' pen.)
Botic (3', 29'), Doumbia (72')
Jan 15, 2023 6am
rhs 2.0
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