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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 52.9%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Willem II win was 2-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
Willem II | Draw | FC Twente |
24.94% ( -0.23) | 22.15% ( -0) | 52.9% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 61.29% ( -0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.82% ( -0.21) | 38.18% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.54% ( -0.23) | 60.45% ( 0.23) |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.72% ( -0.29) | 28.27% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.01% ( -0.37) | 63.99% ( 0.37) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.45% | 14.55% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.4% ( -0) | 42.59% |
Score Analysis |
Willem II | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.52% Total : 24.94% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.15% | 1-2 @ 9.65% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 6.2% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.91% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.37% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.15% ( 0) 0-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.33% Total : 52.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
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