Eredivisie | Gameweek 11
Nov 2, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Koning Willem II Stadion
Willem II0 - 1FC Twente
FT(HT: 0-0)
We said: Willem II 1-3 FC Twente
Willem II were a tad lucky to have escaped a cup exit on Wednesday, but there will be a smaller margin for error in this weekend's matchup against a Twente side brimming with confidence. We are backing the visitors to emerge victorious come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 52.9%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Willem II win was 2-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | FC Twente |
24.94% ( -0.23) | 22.15% ( -0) | 52.9% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 61.29% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.82% ( -0.21) | 38.18% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.54% ( -0.23) | 60.45% ( 0.23) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.72% ( -0.29) | 28.27% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.01% ( -0.37) | 63.99% ( 0.37) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.45% | 14.55% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.4% ( -0) | 42.59% |
| Score Analysis |
Willem II 24.94%
FC Twente 52.9%
Draw 22.15%
| Willem II | Draw | FC Twente |
| 2-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.52% Total : 24.94% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.15% | 1-2 @ 9.65% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 6.2% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.91% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.37% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.15% ( 0)0-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.33% Total : 52.9% |
How you voted: Willem II vs FC Twente
Willem II
11.4%Draw
22.9%FC Twente
65.7%35
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 8pm
Oct 17, 2021 3.45pm
Gameweek 9
FC Twente
1-1
Willem II
Mar 6, 2021 5.45pm
Oct 17, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 5
Willem II
0-3
FC Twente
May 10, 2020 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
Willem II
P-P
FC Twente
Form Guide
