Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 58.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 19.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-2 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Nantes |
58.72% ( -0.04) | 21.36% ( 0.01) | 19.91% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 57% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.35% ( 0.02) | 40.64% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.97% ( 0.02) | 63.03% ( -0.02) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.45% ( -0.01) | 13.55% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.36% ( -0.01) | 40.63% ( 0.01) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.94% ( 0.04) | 34.06% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.25% ( 0.05) | 70.74% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Nantes |
2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.62% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.56% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.31% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 3.32% Total : 58.72% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.36% | 1-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.97% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.68% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 19.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
8 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
9 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |