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Europa League
Toulouse
Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 30, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)

Toulouse
0 - 0
Union SG


Sierro (57')
FT

Vanhoutte (14'), Mac Allister (34'), El Amine Amoura (56'), Sadiki (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Toulouse and Union SG, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Nice 1-0 Toulouse
Sunday, November 26 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Union SG

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Gent 1-1 Union SG
Sunday, November 26 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League

We said: Toulouse 2-1 Union SG

 With their penchant for profligacy in the Europa League well-documented, Union SG will struggle to fight fire with fire on Toulouse's turf, where Les Violets have only been beaten in one of their last nine competitive matches. A closely-fought contest should still be in store, as was the case in September, but the return of a well-rested Dallinga should give Toulouse the extra attacking edge required to get over the line and ensure a top-two finish. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-0 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
ToulouseDrawUnion SG
32.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 24.92%42.96% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 56.96% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)46.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.47% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)68.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.6% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)27.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.13% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)62.88% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.47% (0.0010000000000048 0)21.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.4% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)54.61% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 32.12%
    Union SG 42.97%
    Draw 24.92%
ToulouseDrawUnion SG
1-0 @ 7.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 7.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.95%
3-1 @ 3.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 32.12%
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 5.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.92%
0-1 @ 9.06% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 9.01% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.61%
0-3 @ 3.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.98%
1-4 @ 1.77%
0-4 @ 1.37%
2-4 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 42.97%

How you voted: Toulouse vs Union SG

Toulouse
67.5%
Draw
20.0%
Union SG
12.5%
40
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2023 5.55pm
Group Stage
Union SG
1-1
Toulouse
El Amine Amoura (69')
Vanhoutte (14'), Mac Allister (53'), Sadiki (78'), Blessin (81')
Dallinga (45+3' pen.)
Donnum (33'), Costa (66'), Magri (86')
Costa (90+4')
> Preview
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