Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 57.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 20.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.