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Major League Soccer
May 30, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Stade Saputo
DC United

Montreal
4 - 2
DC United

Lassiter (6'), Sunusi (34', 73'), Choiniere (38')
Piette (5'), Ruan (32'), Choiniere (58')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Benteke (29', 42')
Hopkins (2'), Peltola (37'), Dajome (63')
Peltola (45+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 0-0 Nashville
Sunday, May 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 1-1 Chicago Fire
Sunday, May 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 1-0 DC United

Although they failed to emerge victorious on Saturday, Montreal were a lot sharper on the back end, and we believe that Le CFM will manage to defeat a side in DC, who have not been as decisive in the attacking third of late and have rarely won away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for DC United had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest DC United win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawDC United
43.3% (0.306 0.31) 25.14% (0.012 0.01) 31.56% (-0.318 -0.32)
Both teams to score 55.97% (-0.169 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.58% (-0.162 -0.16)47.42% (0.16 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.37% (-0.15 -0.15)69.63% (0.149 0.15)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.11% (0.072999999999993 0.07)21.88% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.86% (0.113 0.11)55.13% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.66% (-0.285 -0.28)28.34% (0.285 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.92% (-0.364 -0.36)64.08% (0.36399999999999 0.36)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 43.3%
    DC United 31.56%
    Draw 25.14%
CF MontrealDrawDC United
1-0 @ 9.42% (0.084 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.16% (0.08 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.57% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.63% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 43.3%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.2% (0.041 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.14%
0-1 @ 7.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.49% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.93% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.15% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.07% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 31.56%

How you voted: Montreal vs DC United

CF Montreal
37.8%
Draw
28.9%
DC United
33.3%
45
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2024 11.30pm
DC United
1-0
Montreal
Santos (85')
Dajome (52'), Klich (58')

Yankov (44'), Waterman (57'), Martinez (81')
Jun 1, 2023 12.30am
Apr 16, 2023 12.30am
Oct 2, 2022 12.30am
Jul 24, 2022 1am
rhs 2.0
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