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Major League Soccer
FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Aug 28, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
Columbus Crew

Cincinnati
2 - 2
Columbus Crew

Vazquez (36'), Miazga (77')
Moreno (43')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Etienne (74'), Moreira (90+6')
Degenek (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Cincinnati

Last Six:
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 1-1 Cincinnati
Saturday, August 20 at 11pm in Major League Soccer

Columbus Crew

Last Six:
Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-2 Atlanta
Sunday, August 21 at 11.48pm in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-2 Columbus Crew

 Cincinnati and Columbus Crew head into the weekend separated by just one point in the conference table and we anticipate an end-to-end affair between both sides in a heated race for a playoffs spot. However, we predict that they will cancel out each other's efforts and settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawColumbus Crew
39.31% (0.020000000000003 0.02) 25.86% (0.0040000000000013 0) 34.82% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Both teams to score 54.54% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.29% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)49.71% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.28% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)71.72% (0.01700000000001 0.02)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)24.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.52% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)59.48% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.59% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)27.41% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)62.88% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 39.31%
    Columbus Crew 34.83%
    Draw 25.85%
FC CincinnatiDrawColumbus Crew
1-0 @ 9.49% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.6% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.38%
4-0 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 39.31%
1-1 @ 12.27%
0-0 @ 6.82% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.85%
0-1 @ 8.82% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 7.95% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 5.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.43% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 34.83%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew

FC Cincinnati
60.0%
Draw
26.7%
Columbus Crew
13.3%
15
Head to Head
Jul 18, 2022 12.30am
Columbus Crew
2-0
Cincinnati
Camilo Hernandez (16'), Zelarayan (86' pen.)
Moreira (78')

Hagglund (47'), Nwobodo (84')
Aug 27, 2021 11.30pm
Columbus Crew
3-2
Cincinnati
Zelarayan (45'), Berry (81', 83')
Matarrita (45+3'), Atanga (75')
Jul 10, 2021 12.30am
Cincinnati
2-2
Columbus Crew
Castillo (1'), Acosta (24')
Castillo (28'), Kubo (32'), Cameron (45+7'), Vallecilla (61'), Barreal (72'), Stanko (88')
Zelarayan (45+1'), Berry (77')
Afful (17'), Mensah (39')
Afful (42')
Oct 15, 2020 12.30am
Cincinnati
2-1
Columbus Crew
Kubo (17' pen.), Hagglund (49')
Gutman (7')
Santos (45' pen.)
Alashe (31'), Mensah (37'), Boateng (45+2'), Morris (90+3')
Sep 7, 2020 12.30am
Columbus Crew
3-0
Cincinnati
Santos (52'), Zardes (64', 71')
Zardes (82')

Amaya (39'), van der Werff (70'), Waston (90')
rhs 2.0
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