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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
May 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK
TQL Stadium
Columbus Crew

Cincinnati
3 - 2
Columbus Crew

Acosta (17', 23' pen.), Moreno (67')
Miazga (63')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Zelarayan (40'), Amundsen (52')
Amundsen (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cincinnati 3-0 Montreal
Thursday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-0 LA Galaxy
Thursday, May 18 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 2-0 Columbus Crew

Cincinnati are in brilliant form, and although Columbus have done well to snap their winless streak, we think the Orange and Blue will be tough to stop here, so we are siding with a home victory.

How to watch

You can watch FC Cincinnati vs. Columbus Crew and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawColumbus Crew
47.08% (-0.576 -0.58) 24.87% (0.223 0.22) 28.06% (0.354 0.35)
Both teams to score 54.85% (-0.463 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.03% (-0.731 -0.73)47.97% (0.733 0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.86% (-0.676 -0.68)70.14% (0.67700000000001 0.68)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.58% (-0.53700000000001 -0.54)20.43% (0.539 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.13% (-0.86 -0.86)52.87% (0.863 0.86)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.93% (-0.11500000000001 -0.12)31.07% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.61% (-0.135 -0.13)67.39% (0.137 0.14)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 47.08%
    Columbus Crew 28.06%
    Draw 24.87%
FC CincinnatiDrawColumbus Crew
1-0 @ 10.08% (0.137 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-0 @ 8.01% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.96% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-0 @ 4.24% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.97% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.68% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 47.08%
1-1 @ 11.78% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 6.35% (0.191 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.87%
0-1 @ 7.42% (0.2 0.2)
1-2 @ 6.89% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.34% (0.103 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.68% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 28.06%

Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 12.30am
Jul 18, 2022 12.30am
Aug 27, 2021 11.30pm
gameweek 27
Columbus Crew
3-2
Cincinnati
Zelarayan (45'), Berry (81', 83')
Matarrita (45+3'), Atanga (75')
Jul 10, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 16
Cincinnati
2-2
Columbus Crew
Castillo (1'), Acosta (24')
Castillo (28'), Kubo (32'), Cameron (45+7'), Vallecilla (61'), Barreal (72'), Stanko (88')
Zelarayan (45+1'), Berry (77')
Afful (17'), Mensah (39')
Afful (42')
Oct 15, 2020 12.30am
gameweek 18
Cincinnati
2-1
Columbus Crew
Kubo (17' pen.), Hagglund (49')
Gutman (7')
Santos (45' pen.)
Alashe (31'), Mensah (37'), Boateng (45+2'), Morris (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami18105342271535
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls168532922729
4New York City FCNY City169252417729
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC177461818025
6Columbus Crew146622113824
7Toronto177372626024
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia164842723420
9Nashville SCNashville164752022-219
10DC United174762531-619
11Orlando City164571624-817
12CF MontrealMontreal164572335-1217
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta164482221116
14Chicago Fire173681729-1215
15New England RevolutionNew England1431101127-1610

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1796236191733
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles169342819930
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd158432720728
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy177733125628
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver167452419525
6Austin FCAustin176562125-423
7Houston DynamoHouston166461818022
8Colorado RapidsColorado176472931-222
9Portland TimbersPortland175573232020
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City153842325-217
12Dallas153481724-713
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas162592431-711
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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