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DC United
Major League Soccer
Jun 23, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Audi Field
Houston Dynamo

DC United
1 - 4
Houston

Benteke (38' pen.)
Murrell (25'), Akinmboni (50'), Benteke (66'), Dajome (73'), Bartlett (79')
Benteke (66'), Akinmboni (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ferreira (51' pen., 54', 86'), Segal (90+5')
Steres (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: DC United 0-1 Atlanta
Thursday, June 20 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 2-2 Seattle
Thursday, June 20 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: DC United 2-2 Houston Dynamo

DC United could do well with a morale-boosting result as they have picked up just two points in their last seven matches since May. Houston Dynamo have failed to win their last four away matches and we predict both sides will cancel out each other's efforts in an entertaining draw.  Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
DC UnitedDrawHouston Dynamo
45.85% (1.959 1.96) 23.5% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 30.65% (-1.972 -1.97)
Both teams to score 61.27% (-1.034 -1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.72% (-0.944 -0.94)40.27% (0.946 0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.35% (-0.982 -0.98)62.64% (0.982 0.98)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.13% (0.416 0.42)17.86% (-0.415 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.36% (0.70999999999999 0.71)48.63% (-0.709 -0.71)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.6% (-1.644 -1.64)25.4% (1.645 1.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.79% (-2.305 -2.31)60.2% (2.305 2.31)
Score Analysis
    DC United 45.85%
    Houston Dynamo 30.65%
    Draw 23.5%
DC UnitedDrawHouston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.211 0.21)
1-0 @ 7.82% (0.436 0.44)
2-0 @ 6.73% (0.46 0.46)
3-1 @ 5.3% (0.19 0.19)
3-0 @ 3.86% (0.312 0.31)
3-2 @ 3.63% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.28% (0.111 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.155 0.16)
4-2 @ 1.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 45.85%
1-1 @ 10.71% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.32% (-0.157 -0.16)
0-0 @ 4.54% (0.195 0.2)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.5%
1-2 @ 7.34% (-0.284 -0.28)
0-1 @ 6.22% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.26% (-0.225 -0.23)
1-3 @ 3.35% (-0.299 -0.3)
2-3 @ 2.89% (-0.216 -0.22)
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.202 -0.2)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.164 -0.16)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 30.65%

How you voted: DC United vs Houston

DC United
44.1%
Draw
32.4%
Houston Dynamo
23.5%
34
Head to Head
May 8, 2022 12.30am
DC United
2-0
Houston
Fountas (43')
Canouse (55'), Durkin (90+3')

Quintero (45+4'), Carrasquilla (87'), Rodriguez (90+3')
May 10, 2020 12am
May 19, 2019 1.30am
Gameweek 15
Houston
2-1
DC United
Rodriguez (67'), McNamara (68')
Martinez (38'), Struna (95')
Rooney (46')
Canouse (76')
Arriola (85')
Mar 17, 2018 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
DC United
2-2
Houston
Mattocks (50'), Acosta (97')
Acosta (22'), Mora (83')
Elis (30'), Manotas (31')
Alexander (1')
Jul 23, 2017 12am
DC United
1-3
Houston
Boswell (62')
DeLeon (63'), Jeffrey (72')
Wenger (6'), Manotas (15'), Rodriguez (17')
Alex (13'), Deric (94'), Wenger (95')
rhs 2.0
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