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Major League Soccer
Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
May 19, 2024 at 1.05am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
DC United

Inter Miami
1 - 0
DC United

Campana (90+4')
Rojas (30'), Campana (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Birnbaum (20'), Benteke (26'), McVey (48'), Klich (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Miami

All competitions
Last Game: Orlando City 0-0 Inter Miami
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

DC United

All competitions
Last Game: DC United 1-4 NY Red Bulls
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 1-2 DC United

 If Messi cannot go as anticipated, the Herons could have difficulty creating some dangerous scoring opportunities, as we saw in their midweek affair. Whether he plays or not, Miami have not proven to be consistently strong at the back, and they will be facing one of the deadliest strikers in the league in Christian Benteke, who we believe will make the difference for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 56.13%. A win for DC United had a probability of 22.34% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.21%) and 1-0 (8.19%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-2 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawDC United
56.13% (-6.704 -6.7) 21.52% (2.383 2.38) 22.34% (4.312 4.31)
Both teams to score 60.27% (-1.363 -1.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.93% (-5.048 -5.05)38.06% (5.039 5.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.66% (-5.587 -5.59)60.33% (5.577 5.58)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.5% (-3.395 -3.4)13.49% (3.385 3.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.48% (-7.262 -7.26)40.51% (7.252 7.25)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.67% (1.107 1.11)30.32% (-1.118 -1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.49% (1.307 1.31)66.5% (-1.317 -1.32)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 56.13%
    DC United 22.34%
    Draw 21.52%
Inter MiamiDrawDC United
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.138 0.14)
2-0 @ 8.21% (-0.137 -0.14)
1-0 @ 8.19% (0.914 0.91)
3-1 @ 6.54% (-0.84 -0.84)
3-0 @ 5.48% (-0.897 -0.9)
3-2 @ 3.9% (-0.367 -0.37)
4-1 @ 3.28% (-0.954 -0.95)
4-0 @ 2.75% (-0.911 -0.91)
4-2 @ 1.95% (-0.493 -0.49)
5-1 @ 1.31% (-0.628 -0.63)
5-0 @ 1.1% (-0.576 -0.58)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 56.13%
1-1 @ 9.78% (1.354 1.35)
2-2 @ 5.84% (0.257 0.26)
0-0 @ 4.09% (0.915 0.92)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.52%
1-2 @ 5.83% (0.96 0.96)
0-1 @ 4.88% (1.206 1.21)
0-2 @ 2.91% (0.786 0.79)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.169 0.17)
1-3 @ 2.32% (0.44 0.44)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.338 0.34)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 22.34%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs DC United

Inter Miami
83.3%
Draw
8.3%
DC United
8.3%
48
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 6pm
DC United
1-3
Inter Miami
Stroud (14')
McVey (21'), Pirani (27'), Herrera (34'), Peltola (68'), Klich (74')
Santos (90')
Campana (24'), Suarez (72', 85')
Aviles (28'), Busquets (55'), Gomez (79')
> Preview
Jul 9, 2023 12.30am
DC United
2-2
Inter Miami
Fountas (65'), Robertha (77')
Rodrigo Asad (17'), Fountas (70'), Pines (90')
Cremaschi (59'), Allen (68')
Arroyo (2'), Krivtsov (45+6'), Ruiz (90+4')
> Preview
Jun 4, 2023 12.30am
Inter Miami
1-2
DC United
Fray (90+2')
Jean (12'), Fray (71'), Campana (81'), Yedlin (89')
Miller (7')
Pines (76'), Benteke (90')
Santos (12'), Benteke (45+1')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2022 10pm
DC United
2-3
Inter Miami
Benteke (22'), Fountas (58')
Campana (39', 53'), Higuain (90+4')
> Preview
May 15, 2022 2.15am
Inter Miami
2-2
DC United
McVey (76')
Canouse (50'), Durkin (69')
Durkin (90+1')
> Preview
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