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Major League Soccer
Feb 24, 2024 at 9.30pm UK
Banc of California Stadium
Seattle Sounders

Los Angeles
2 - 1
Seattle

Tillman (45'), Bogusz (55')
Long (72'), Tillman (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
De la Vega (73' pen.)
Roldan (37'), Tolo (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and Seattle Sounders, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-1 Los Angeles
Saturday, December 9 at 9pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 0-1 Los Angeles
Monday, November 27 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles FC 1-0 Seattle Sounders

We have no doubt Seattle will be difficult to score on this season, but we are not convinced they will be able to bury their chances. LAFC, meanwhile, have no problem hanging back, and they have an established leader and shot-stopper between the sticks, along with plenty of quality in the attack. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 54.13%. A win for Seattle Sounders has a probability of 23.37% and a draw has a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win is 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.43%).

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawSeattle Sounders
54.13% (0.38800000000001 0.39) 22.5% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 23.37% (-0.342 -0.34)
Both teams to score 58.18% (-0.274 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.55% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)41.44% (0.162 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.15% (-0.168 -0.17)63.84% (0.165 0.16)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.71% (0.072000000000003 0.07)15.28% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.01% (0.138 0.14)43.99% (-0.139 -0.14)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.67% (-0.38300000000001 -0.38)31.32% (0.381 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.31% (-0.444 -0.44)67.68% (0.44200000000001 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 54.13%
    Seattle Sounders 23.37%
    Draw 22.49%
Los Angeles FCDrawSeattle Sounders
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.99% (0.089 0.09)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.106 0.11)
3-1 @ 6.14% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.29% (0.08 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.88% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.48% (0.044 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.67% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.08% (0.01 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.93% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 54.13%
1-1 @ 10.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.79% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.49%
1-2 @ 6.06% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-1 @ 5.56% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.23% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 23.37%

How you voted: Los Angeles vs Seattle

Los Angeles FC
70.0%
Draw
0.0%
Seattle Sounders
30.0%
10
Head to Head
Nov 27, 2023 2.30am
Seattle
0-1
Los Angeles

Tolo (20'), Atencio (40'), Paulo (66')
Bouanga (30')
Crepeau (84'), Palacios (86'), Chiellini (90')
Jun 22, 2023 3.30am
Jul 30, 2022 4am
Jun 18, 2022 8pm
rhs 2.0
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