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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
May 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Talen Energy Stadium
New England Revolution

Philadelphia
3 - 0
New England

Gazdag (56', 74' pen.), Carranza (88')
Real (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Blessing (4'), Wood (45'), Gil (73'), Altidore (84'), Romney (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 0-0 DC United
Thursday, May 18 at 12.55am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 New England
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 1-0 New England Revolution

Philadelphia Union might be the underdogs heading into this match, but their recent form overall is something that could give them the edge in this one.

How to watch

You can watch Philadelphia Union vs. New England Revolution and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 63.03%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 16.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew England Revolution
63.03% (0.262 0.26) 20.58% (0.394 0.39) 16.39% (-0.654 -0.65)
Both teams to score 52.76% (-2.82 -2.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.07% (-3.02 -3.02)42.93% (3.02 3.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.67% (-3.061 -3.06)65.33% (3.062 3.06)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87% (-0.851 -0.85)13% (0.852 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.48% (-1.766 -1.77)39.52% (1.766 1.77)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.64% (-2.622 -2.62)39.35% (2.624 2.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.94% (-2.536 -2.54)76.05% (2.537 2.54)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 63.01%
    New England Revolution 16.39%
    Draw 20.58%
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew England Revolution
2-0 @ 10.64% (0.726 0.73)
1-0 @ 10.43% (1.025 1.03)
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.24% (0.275 0.28)
3-1 @ 6.75% (-0.225 -0.23)
4-0 @ 3.69% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.45% (-0.232 -0.23)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.345 -0.35)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.236 -0.24)
5-0 @ 1.51% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.41% (-0.145 -0.15)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 63.01%
1-1 @ 9.73% (0.313 0.31)
0-0 @ 5.12% (0.654 0.65)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.342 -0.34)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.188 -0.19)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.58%
0-1 @ 4.77% (0.302 0.3)
1-2 @ 4.54% (-0.179 -0.18)
0-2 @ 2.22% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.221 -0.22)
1-3 @ 1.41% (-0.164 -0.16)
Other @ 2%
Total : 16.39%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs New England

Philadelphia Union
40.0%
Draw
40.0%
New England Revolution
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Jul 17, 2022 12.30am
Philadelphia
2-1
New England
Uhre (75'), Gazdag (79' pen.)
Bedoya (90+4')
Bou (61')
May 29, 2022 12.30am
New England
1-1
Philadelphia
Bou (75' pen.)
Bou (52')
Uhre (77')
Burke (63'), McGlynn (80'), Andres Martinez (90+2')
Sep 4, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 32
Philadelphia
0-1
New England

Harriel (33'), Bedoya (71'), Sullivan (77'), Fontana (80'), Aaronson (89')
Polster (33')
Ingvi Traustason (55'), Kessler (90+3')
Ingvi Traustason (59')
Aug 8, 2021 11pm
gameweek 24
New England
2-1
Philadelphia
Polster (10'), Bou (39')
McNamara (70'), Bunbury (90+3')
Aaronson (31')
Mbaizo (22'), Elliott (54'), Wagner (84')
May 13, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 6
Philadelphia
1-1
New England
Przybylko (88')
Wagner (34'), Monteiro (53'), Przybylko (71')
Bunbury (85')
Bye (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami18105342271535
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls168532922729
4New York City FCNY City169252417729
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC177461818025
6Columbus Crew146622113824
7Toronto177372626024
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia164842723420
9Nashville SCNashville164752022-219
10DC United174762531-619
11Orlando City164571624-817
12CF MontrealMontreal164572335-1217
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta164482221116
14Chicago Fire173681729-1215
15New England RevolutionNew England1431101127-1610

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1796236191733
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles169342819930
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd158432720728
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy177733125628
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver167452419525
6Austin FCAustin176562125-423
7Houston DynamoHouston166461818022
8Colorado RapidsColorado176472931-222
9Portland TimbersPortland175573232020
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City153842325-217
12Dallas153481724-713
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas162592431-711
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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