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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
May 21, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Talen Energy Stadium
New England Revolution

Philadelphia
3 - 0
New England

Gazdag (56', 74' pen.), Carranza (88')
Real (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Blessing (4'), Wood (45'), Gil (73'), Altidore (84'), Romney (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 0-0 DC United
Thursday, May 18 at 12.55am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 New England
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 1-0 New England Revolution

Philadelphia Union might be the underdogs heading into this match, but their recent form overall is something that could give them the edge in this one.

How to watch

You can watch Philadelphia Union vs. New England Revolution and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 63.03%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 16.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew England Revolution
63.03% (0.262 0.26) 20.58% (0.394 0.39) 16.39% (-0.654 -0.65)
Both teams to score 52.76% (-2.82 -2.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.07% (-3.02 -3.02)42.93% (3.02 3.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.67% (-3.061 -3.06)65.33% (3.062 3.06)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87% (-0.851 -0.85)13% (0.852 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.48% (-1.766 -1.77)39.52% (1.766 1.77)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.64% (-2.622 -2.62)39.35% (2.624 2.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.94% (-2.536 -2.54)76.05% (2.537 2.54)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 63.01%
    New England Revolution 16.39%
    Draw 20.58%
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew England Revolution
2-0 @ 10.64% (0.726 0.73)
1-0 @ 10.43% (1.025 1.03)
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.24% (0.275 0.28)
3-1 @ 6.75% (-0.225 -0.23)
4-0 @ 3.69% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.45% (-0.232 -0.23)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.345 -0.35)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.236 -0.24)
5-0 @ 1.51% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.41% (-0.145 -0.15)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 63.01%
1-1 @ 9.73% (0.313 0.31)
0-0 @ 5.12% (0.654 0.65)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.342 -0.34)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.188 -0.19)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.58%
0-1 @ 4.77% (0.302 0.3)
1-2 @ 4.54% (-0.179 -0.18)
0-2 @ 2.22% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.221 -0.22)
1-3 @ 1.41% (-0.164 -0.16)
Other @ 2%
Total : 16.39%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs New England

Philadelphia Union
40.0%
Draw
40.0%
New England Revolution
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Jul 17, 2022 12.30am
Philadelphia
2-1
New England
Uhre (75'), Gazdag (79' pen.)
Bedoya (90+4')
Bou (61')
May 29, 2022 12.30am
New England
1-1
Philadelphia
Bou (75' pen.)
Bou (52')
Uhre (77')
Burke (63'), McGlynn (80'), Andres Martinez (90+2')
Sep 4, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 32
Philadelphia
0-1
New England

Harriel (33'), Bedoya (71'), Sullivan (77'), Fontana (80'), Aaronson (89')
Polster (33')
Ingvi Traustason (55'), Kessler (90+3')
Ingvi Traustason (59')
Aug 8, 2021 11pm
gameweek 24
New England
2-1
Philadelphia
Polster (10'), Bou (39')
McNamara (70'), Bunbury (90+3')
Aaronson (31')
Mbaizo (22'), Elliott (54'), Wagner (84')
May 13, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 6
Philadelphia
1-1
New England
Przybylko (88')
Wagner (34'), Monteiro (53'), Przybylko (71')
Bunbury (85')
Bye (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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