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Philadelphia Union
Leagues Cup | Quarter-Finals
Aug 18, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Talen Energy Stadium

Philadelphia
1 - 1
Mazatlan

Uhre (45+3')
Baribo (40'), Glesnes (59')
Baribo (41')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Escoboza (59')
Colula (31'), Joel Barcenas (45+9'), Rubio (63'), Almada (79')
Philadelphia win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Leagues Cup clash between Philadelphia Union and Mazatlan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cincinnati 2-4 Philadelphia
Wednesday, August 14 at 12.30am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Cruz Azul 2-2 Mazatlan (1-3 pen.)
Wednesday, August 14 at 1am in Leagues Cup

We said: Philadelphia Union 2-0 Mazatlan

The Union know what to expect in a high-stakes game like this, and we believe they have the overall quality needed to end the Cinderella run of Mazatlan this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 54.15%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 23.69% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%).

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawMazatlan
54.15% (-0.413 -0.41) 22.15% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02) 23.69% (0.435 0.43)
Both teams to score 59.82% (0.639 0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.53% (0.593 0.59)39.46% (-0.594 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.19% (0.618 0.62)61.81% (-0.618 -0.62)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.41% (0.071000000000012 0.07)14.59% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.33% (0.138 0.14)42.66% (-0.137 -0.14)
Mazatlan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.04% (0.69 0.69)29.96% (-0.691 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.92% (0.823 0.82)66.07% (-0.82400000000001 -0.82)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 54.15%
    Mazatlan 23.69%
    Draw 22.15%
Philadelphia UnionDrawMazatlan
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.41% (-0.214 -0.21)
2-0 @ 8.1% (-0.184 -0.18)
3-1 @ 6.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.2% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.77% (0.067 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.02% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.5% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.82% (0.038 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.16% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 54.15%
1-1 @ 10.14% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.88% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
0-0 @ 4.37% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.15%
1-2 @ 6.11% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
0-1 @ 5.27% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.17% (0.033 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.46% (0.078 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.081 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.28% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 23.69%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Mazatlan

Philadelphia Union
93.8%
Draw
6.3%
Mazatlan
0.0%
16
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