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Charlotte FC
Major League Soccer
May 12, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Bank of America Stadium
Nashville

Charlotte FC
1 - 0
Nashville

Agyemang (52')
Vargas (76'), Smalls (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Boyd (22'), Lovitz (56'), Davis (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Charlotte FC and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-0 Portland
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 4-1 Montreal
Sunday, May 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Charlotte FC 1-1 Nashville SC

Nashville's struggle to keep clean sheets could prove to be problematic against Charlotte, but captain Zimmerman could be key to marshalling their defence. On the other hand, Charlotte have had difficulties in front of goal, and it remains to be seen whether their recent increased output is reflective of genuine, sustained improvement under Dean Smith. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 47.15%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Charlotte FC in this match.

Result
Charlotte FCDrawNashville SC
47.15% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06) 25.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 27.46% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Both teams to score 52.74% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.47% (0.009999999999998 0.01)50.53% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.55% (0.0089999999999968 0.01)72.45% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.56% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)21.44% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.55% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)54.45% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.13% (0.046999999999997 0.05)32.87% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.56% (0.049999999999997 0.05)69.44% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Charlotte FC 47.15%
    Nashville SC 27.46%
    Draw 25.39%
Charlotte FCDrawNashville SC
1-0 @ 10.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 8.36% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.77% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 4.29% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 1.84% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 47.15%
1-1 @ 12.07%
0-0 @ 7.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 7.84% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.72% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.62% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 27.46%

How you voted: Charlotte FC vs Nashville

Charlotte FC
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Nashville SC
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2024 12.30am
Nashville
2-1
Charlotte FC
Surridge (32'), Muyl (40')
Maher (55')
Dejaegere (45+4')
Tavares (55'), Byrne (57'), Privett (81')
Sep 3, 2023 1.30am
Nashville
1-1
Charlotte FC
Williams (90+8' pen.)
Williams (26'), McCarty (56'), Godoy (73'), Bunbury (90+2')
Arfield (90+3')
Jones (27'), Malanda (89'), Byrne (90+6')
May 21, 2023 12.30am
Charlotte FC
1-2
Nashville
Bronico (6')
Byrne (11'), Bronico (54')
Williams (39', 90+3')
Bunbury (34'), McCarty (69')
Jul 10, 2022 12am
Charlotte FC
4-1
Nashville
Fuchs (26' pen.), Swiderski (61'), Ruiz (89'), Shinyashiki (90+1')
Williams (67' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1484235201528
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati138321610627
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls136522419523
4New York City FCNY City136251615120
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136251413120
6Toronto136161619-319
7Columbus Crew124621612418
8DC United134542023-317
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia123542221114
10Nashville SCNashville123541619-314
11Orlando City123451420-613
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta123361615112
13CF MontrealMontreal123361626-1012
14Chicago Fire132471223-1110
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1374222111125
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd116321913621
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy135622521421
5Colorado RapidsColorado136342118321
6Austin FCAustin135441615119
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver125341814418
8Houston DynamoHouston125251112-117
9St Louis City123721817116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle133461516-113
11Portland TimbersPortland133462527-213
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
13Dallas113261216-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes133192232-1010


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