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New York Red Bulls
Major League Soccer
Sep 29, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Red Bull Arena
New York City

NY Red Bulls
1 - 5
NY City

Vanzeir (28')
Reyes (14'), Schwarz (15'), Stroud (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-4)
Moralez (5'), Martinez (7', 45+5'), Perea (30'), Gray (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 2-2 Atlanta
Sunday, September 22 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 1-1 Inter Miami
Saturday, September 21 at 7pm in Major League Soccer

We said: New York Red Bulls 1-1 New York City FC

Both sides appear to be playoff-bound, but neither have shown the ability to control a match for 90 minutes, which is why we project they will each keep their winless runs intact. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 51.77%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 24.21% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawNew York City FC
51.77% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 24.02% (0.0010000000000012 0) 24.21% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 54.08% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.66% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)47.34% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.43% (-0.004999999999999 -0)69.56% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.72%18.28% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.66% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)49.34% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.17% (0.0019999999999953 0)33.83% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.51% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)70.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 51.76%
    New York City FC 24.21%
    Draw 24.02%
New York Red BullsDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 10.5%
2-1 @ 9.68%
2-0 @ 8.93% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.48%
3-0 @ 5.06%
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.15%
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 51.76%
1-1 @ 11.38%
0-0 @ 6.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.02%
0-1 @ 6.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 6.17% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.23%
2-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 24.21%

How you voted: NY Red Bulls vs NY City

New York Red Bulls
58.3%
Draw
8.3%
New York City FC
33.3%
12
Head to Head
May 19, 2024 12.30am
NY City
2-1
NY Red Bulls
Wolf (3'), Bakrar (64')
Sands (32')
Harper (45+1')
Harper (25'), Amaya (66'), Nealis (67'), Tolkin (90'), Schwarz (90+2')
Nealis (90+3')
Sep 16, 2023 8.30pm
NY City
0-0
NY Red Bulls
Pellegrini (42'), Morales (63'), Sands (90+3')
Barlow (48'), Ndam (69'), Harper (90+7'), Tolkin (90+7')
May 14, 2023 12.30am
Jul 17, 2022 10pm
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