Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vancouver Whitecaps would win this match.