National League North | Gameweek 21
Dec 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
Chorley3 - 0Curzon Ashton
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Curzon Ashton.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Banbury 3-0 Chorley
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 3-0 Telford
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
18
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 70.36%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 11.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.11%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
Result | ||
Chorley | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
70.36% ( -0.37) | 18.45% ( 0.26) | 11.18% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 45.51% ( -0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.9% ( -0.88) | 45.09% ( 0.87) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.55% ( -0.84) | 67.44% ( 0.84) |
Chorley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.41% ( -0.35) | 11.59% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.44% ( -0.74) | 36.56% ( 0.74) |
Curzon Ashton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.47% ( -0.38) | 48.52% ( 0.37) |