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National League North | Gameweek 24
Feb 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford
1 - 2
Chester

FT(HT: 0-0)
Caton (59'), Willoughby (79')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Chester FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southport 0-1 Hereford
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 1-2 Chester
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Hereford UnitedDrawChester FC
39.37% (0.032999999999994 0.03) 27.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 33.44% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 49.99% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.61% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)55.39% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.41% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)76.59% (0.024999999999991 0.02)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.54% (0.0049999999999955 0)27.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)62.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.92% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)31.08% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.6% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)67.4% (0.048999999999992 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Hereford United 39.37%
    Chester FC 33.44%
    Draw 27.19%
Hereford UnitedDrawChester FC
1-0 @ 11.03% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.33% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.59% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 3.07% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.16%
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 39.37%
1-1 @ 12.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.54% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.87% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.19%
0-1 @ 9.98% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 7.53% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.93% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.27% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 33.44%

Head to Head
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Chester
2-3
Hereford
Burke (24'), Williams (63')
Hodgkiss (45+2'), Kouhyar (65'), Owen-Evans (82' pen.)
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Dec 8, 2020 7.45pm
Chester
5-3
Hereford
Weeks (44'), Elliott (49'), White (52' og.), Johnston (62'), Livesey (85')
Owen-Evans (22', 38'), Digie (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Chorley179532819932
2Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster1794426121431
3Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton1693421111030
4Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe1785431141729
5Alfreton TownAlfreton168532215729
6Buxton189182921828
7Hereford UnitedHereford177642517827
8Brackley Town168351913627
9King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn178362019127
10Chester FCChester167451816225
11SouthportSouthport177462529-425
12Spennymoor TownSpennymoor176652519624
13Leamington FCLeamington166552216623
14Darlington175751818022
15South Shields177191927-822
16Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports176381823-521
17Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath155551919020
18Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic176291826-820
19Warrington Town174671723-618
20Oxford CityOxford City174672431-718
21RadcliffeRadcliffe174582130-917
22Marine AFC16349721-1413
23Needham Market1733111231-1912
24Rushall Olympic1632111630-1411


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