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National League South | Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Hornchurch Stadium

Hornchurch
0 - 1
Eastbourne

FT(HT: 0-1)
Pavey (23')
Diarra (14'), Johnson (86'), Bird (86'), J (90+1')
Pitblado (28')
Coverage of the National League South clash between AFC Hornchurch and Eastbourne Borough.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hampton 1-3 Hornchurch
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 1-1 Chesham
Saturday, August 10 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastbourne Borough win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eastbourne Borough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest AFC Hornchurch win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastbourne Borough would win this match.

Result
AFC HornchurchDrawEastbourne Borough
31.37% (-1.545 -1.55) 24.52% (-0.248 -0.25) 44.11% (1.789 1.79)
Both teams to score 58.01% (0.221 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.28% (0.57 0.57)44.71% (-0.573 -0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.92% (0.546 0.55)67.08% (-0.55000000000001 -0.55)
AFC Hornchurch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.86% (-0.693 -0.69)27.13% (0.688 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.47% (-0.908 -0.91)62.52% (0.904 0.9)
Eastbourne Borough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.61% (1.048 1.05)20.38% (-1.053 -1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.19% (1.642 1.64)52.8% (-1.646 -1.65)
Score Analysis
    AFC Hornchurch 31.37%
    Eastbourne Borough 44.11%
    Draw 24.52%
AFC HornchurchDrawEastbourne Borough
2-1 @ 7.48% (-0.239 -0.24)
1-0 @ 7.21% (-0.326 -0.33)
2-0 @ 4.71% (-0.309 -0.31)
3-1 @ 3.25% (-0.17 -0.17)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.05% (-0.177 -0.18)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 31.37%
1-1 @ 11.47% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.95% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.52%
1-2 @ 9.12% (0.182 0.18)
0-1 @ 8.8% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
0-2 @ 7% (0.272 0.27)
1-3 @ 4.84% (0.246 0.25)
0-3 @ 3.71% (0.257 0.26)
2-3 @ 3.16% (0.102 0.1)
1-4 @ 1.92% (0.155 0.16)
0-4 @ 1.47% (0.145 0.15)
2-4 @ 1.25% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 44.11%

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