Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 48.24%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 27.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-0 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Aldershot Town | Draw | Southend United |
27.41% ( -0.08) | 24.34% ( -0.08) | 48.24% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 56.08% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.88% ( 0.28) | 46.12% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.58% ( 0.26) | 68.42% ( -0.26) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.4% ( 0.08) | 30.59% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.17% ( 0.1) | 66.83% ( -0.1) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.8% ( 0.17) | 19.2% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.12% ( 0.29) | 50.88% ( -0.29) |
Score Analysis |
Aldershot Town | Draw | Southend United |
1-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.68% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 27.41% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.34% | 0-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.47% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.21% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.15% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.14% Total : 48.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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