National League | Gameweek 31
Feb 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Sands Venue Stadium
We said: Scunthorpe United 1-2 Barnet
There is no doubt that Scunthorpe have taken significant strides in recent weeks, but Barnet have laid a marker down as one of the best teams in the fifth tier.
As such, we expect the visitors to emerge with a narrow victory in what will be a closely-contested game, with Kabamba likely to get on the scoresheet.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 47.38% . A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 23% .
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (6.76%) . The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 2-1 (7.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%) . The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
Result Scunthorpe United Draw Barnet 29.58% ( 0.12) 23.03% ( 0.04) 47.38% ( -0.17)
Both teams to score 62.29% ( -0.08)
61.36% ( -0.14) 38.64% ( 0.14)
39.05% ( -0.15) 60.94% ( 0.15)
74.73% ( 0.01) 25.26% ( -0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 39.97% ( 0.01) 60.02% ( -0.01)
83.35% ( -0.12) 16.64% ( 0.12)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 53.51% ( -0.21) 46.48% ( 0.21)
Scunthorpe United 29.58%
Barnet 47.38%
Draw 23.03%
Scunthorpe United Draw Barnet 2-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.52% Total : 29.58% 1-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.03% 1-2 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.56% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.49% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.34% Total : 47.38%
How you voted: Scunthorpe vs Barnet
Scunthorpe United
Draw
Barnet
26
rhs 2.0
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