We said: Scunthorpe United 1-2 Barnet
There is no doubt that Scunthorpe have taken significant strides in recent weeks, but Barnet have laid a marker down as one of the best teams in the fifth tier.
As such, we expect the visitors to emerge with a narrow victory in what will be a closely-contested game, with Kabamba likely to get on the scoresheet.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.