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Aldershot Town
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Barnet
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Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
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Southend United
Sutton United
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Yeovil Town
Southend United
National League | Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Roots Hall Stadium

Southend
2 - 0
Boston

Cardwell (2'), Scott-Morriss (52')
Miley (24')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Leak (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Southend United and Boston United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hartlepool 0-0 Southend
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Boston 0-4 Forest Green
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League

We said: Southend United 2-0 Boston United

While Southend have been disappointing in the early stages of the season, they have at least kept two clean sheets, and they could keep their third on Tuesday. Though Boston have done well to reach the National League, they still appear to require some adjustment to their new division and come into the clash as underdogs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 54.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Boston United had a probability of 21.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Boston United win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Southend United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Southend United.

Result
Southend UnitedDrawBoston United
54.6% (0.125 0.13) 24.07% (0.0019999999999989 0) 21.32% (-0.128 -0.13)
Both teams to score 50.36% (-0.177 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.49% (-0.148 -0.15)50.51% (0.148 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.56% (-0.131 -0.13)72.43% (0.13200000000001 0.13)
Southend United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.6% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)18.39% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.46% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)49.53% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Boston United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.71% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21)38.28% (0.211 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.96% (-0.203 -0.2)75.04% (0.203 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Southend United 54.6%
    Boston United 21.32%
    Draw 24.07%
Southend UnitedDrawBoston United
1-0 @ 11.92% (0.07 0.07)
2-0 @ 10.09% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 5.7% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.41% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 54.6%
1-1 @ 11.44%
0-0 @ 7.04% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 24.07%
0-1 @ 6.76% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 5.5% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.25% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.76% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 21.32%

How you voted: Southend vs Boston

Southend United
77.4%
Draw
12.9%
Boston United
9.7%
31
Head to Head
Jan 12, 2005 3pm
Oct 8, 2004 3pm
Southend
2-1
Boston
Gower (15'), Gray (22')
Flahavan (45')
Kirk (49')
Bennett (26'), Thomas (44')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Forest Green RoversForest Green18124235142140
2York City18115233141938
3Barnet18121538231537
4Oldham AthleticOldham1897229171234
5Gateshead1810443024634
6Rochdale189362718930
7Halifax TownHalifax188552016429
8Yeovil TownYeovil188462116528
9Solihull MoorsSolihull188463228428
10AltrinchamAltrincham187652823527
11Sutton UnitedSutton187472626025
12Eastleigh186662525024
13Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red185763022822
14Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool185761821-322
15Tamworth186482032-1222
16Southend UnitedSouthend185672022-221
17Woking185581924-520
18Aldershot TownAldershot184772329-619
19Braintree TownBraintree185491420-619
20WealdstoneWealdstone184681825-718
21Fylde1853102337-1418
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead1844102131-1016
23Boston UnitedBoston1825111631-1511
24Ebbsfleet1815121543-288


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