Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 54.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Boston United had a probability of 21.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Boston United win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Southend United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Southend United.
Result | ||
Southend United | Draw | Boston United |
54.6% ( 0.13) | 24.07% ( 0) | 21.32% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 50.36% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.49% ( -0.15) | 50.51% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.56% ( -0.13) | 72.43% ( 0.13) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.6% ( -0.01) | 18.39% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.46% ( -0.01) | 49.53% ( 0.01) |
Boston United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.71% ( -0.21) | 38.28% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.96% ( -0.2) | 75.04% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Southend United | Draw | Boston United |
1-0 @ 11.92% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.47% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.26% Total : 54.6% | 1-1 @ 11.44% 0-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.93% Total : 24.07% | 0-1 @ 6.76% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.53% Total : 21.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 40 |
2 | York City | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
3 | Barnet | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 37 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Gateshead | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 34 |
6 | Rochdale | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 30 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
8 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 28 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 28 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 27 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 25 |
12 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 24 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 22 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 22 |
15 | Tamworth | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
17 | Woking | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 19 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
21 | Fylde | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 18 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 43 | -28 | 8 |
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