Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Barnet win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Barnet | Draw | Southend United |
35.95% ( 2.17) | 24.95% ( 0.25) | 39.1% ( -2.42) |
Both teams to score 57.88% ( -0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.53% ( -0.75) | 45.47% ( 0.75) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.19% ( -0.72) | 67.8% ( 0.72) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.24% ( 0.9) | 24.76% ( -0.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.68% ( 1.24) | 59.32% ( -1.24) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.92% ( -1.51) | 23.08% ( 1.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.08% ( -2.26) | 56.91% ( 2.26) |
Score Analysis |
Barnet | Draw | Southend United |
2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.31) 1-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.45) 2-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.45) 3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.27) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.11) Other @ 1.86% Total : 35.95% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.94% | 1-2 @ 8.58% ( -0.28) 0-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.37) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.34) 0-3 @ 3% ( -0.33) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.2) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.18) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.18% Total : 39.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
2 | Barnet | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 46 |
4 | Gateshead | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 35 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 |
12 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 32 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 32 |
14 | Tamworth | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
17 | Woking | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 23 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 23 |
20 | Fylde | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 54 | -37 | 9 |
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