Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 51.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Weymouth had a probability of 24.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Weymouth win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yeovil Town would win this match.