Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 32.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yeovil Town would win this match.