Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 32.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.