MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 07:50:26| >> :600:3516717:3516717:
Sweden national football team
Nations League | League C
Nov 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Friends Arena
Slovakia national football team

Sweden
2 - 1
Slovakia

Gyokeres (3'), Isak (48')
Hien (15'), Gudmundsson (28'), Holm (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hancko (19')
Rodak (37'), Dubravka (45+2'), Bero (60'), Skriniar (69'), Calzona (90+2')
Skriniar (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Sweden and Slovakia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Estonia 0-3 Sweden
Monday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Azerbaijan 1-3 Slovakia
Monday, October 14 at 5pm in Nations League

We said: Sweden 3-2 Slovakia

Two attack-minded teams should share a few more goals this weekend, following their 2-2 draw in Slovakia last month, but Sweden are set to come out on top. The hosts will simply have too much firepower for their visitors to handle - even if the Swedish defence still looks suspect. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 52.72%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Slovakia had a probability of 22.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Slovakia win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sweden would win this match.

Result
SwedenDrawSlovakia
52.72% (0.088000000000001 0.09) 24.32% (-0.02 -0.02) 22.96% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Both teams to score 51.71% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.21% (0.016999999999996 0.02)49.78% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.21% (0.013999999999999 0.01)71.78% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.16% (0.040000000000006 0.04)18.84% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.71% (0.068999999999996 0.07)50.28% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Slovakia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.71% (-0.052 -0.05)36.29% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.92% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)73.07% (0.054999999999993 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Sweden 52.72%
    Slovakia 22.96%
    Draw 24.31%
SwedenDrawSlovakia
1-0 @ 11.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 9.52% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.37% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.3% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.21% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 52.72%
1-1 @ 11.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.84% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.31%
0-1 @ 6.93% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.86% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.51% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 22.96%

How you voted: Sweden vs Slovakia

Sweden
76.1%
Draw
15.5%
Slovakia
8.5%
142
Head to Head
Oct 11, 2024 7.45pm
League C
Slovakia
2-2
Sweden
Strelec (44', 72')
Vavro (18'), Suslov (51'), Duda (61'), Gyomber (90+3')
Ayari (25'), Sema (32')
Douglas (40'), Karlstrom (61')
Jun 18, 2021 2pm
Group Stage
Sweden
1-0
Slovakia
Forsberg (77' pen.)
Olsson (23')

Dubravka (76'), Duda (80'), Weiss (87')
Oct 16, 2018 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Sweden
1-1
Slovakia
Rusnak (84')
Sabo (36')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!