Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Portadown win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
