Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Portadown win was 2-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.