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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Famalicao logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 20, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho
Porto

Famalicao
2 - 4
Porto

Jaime (33'), Colombatto (44' pen.)
Junior (6'), Rodrigues (26'), Colombatto (45+1'), Youssouf (66'), Otavio (73')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Taremi (7' pen., 10', 67' pen., 75' pen.)
Taremi (18'), Pepe (42'), Otavio (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vizela 0-0 Famalicao
Saturday, May 13 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-1 Casa Pia
Sunday, May 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Famalicao 0-2 Porto

Porto will be licking their lips as they take on an out-of-sorts Famalicao side who have suffered a disappointing late-season form. The Dragoes are currently firing on all cylinders as they have their eyes on the prize and we are backing them to pick up their 10th straight win since the start of April. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 62.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 16.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.66%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-0 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
FamalicaoDrawPorto
16.02% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1) 21.74% (0.012 0.01) 62.24% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Both teams to score 48.23% (-0.244 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.43% (-0.216 -0.22)48.58% (0.218 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.3% (-0.196 -0.2)70.7% (0.20099999999999 0.2)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.77% (-0.258 -0.26)43.23% (0.261 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.52% (-0.215 -0.22)79.49% (0.21899999999999 0.22)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.95% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)15.05% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.45% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)43.56% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Famalicao 16.02%
    Porto 62.23%
    Draw 21.74%
FamalicaoDrawPorto
1-0 @ 5.46% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 4.33% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-0 @ 2.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.21% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.15% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 16.02%
1-1 @ 10.33%
0-0 @ 6.51% (0.058 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.1% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 21.74%
0-1 @ 12.32% (0.09 0.09)
0-2 @ 11.66% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 9.78% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 7.37% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 6.18% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-4 @ 3.49% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.92% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-5 @ 1.32% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.23% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.11% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 62.23%

How you voted: Famalicao vs Porto

Famalicao
20.0%
Draw
0.0%
Porto
80.0%
20
Head to Head
May 4, 2023 8.30pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Porto
3-2
Famalicao
Galeno (28' pen.), Otavio (120+1'), Evanilson (120+4')
Pepe (30'), Conceicao (89'), Otavio (120+3')
Conceicao (120+3'), Conceicao (120+3')
Cadiz (21'), Jaime (75')
Dobre (26'), Colombatto (39'), Rodrigues (83'), Mihaj (100'), Penetra (108'), Moura (110'), Denilson (112')
Apr 26, 2023 8.30pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Famalicao
1-2
Porto
Penetra (36')
Moura (45+1'), Pablo (80'), Otavio (90+1')
Marcano (16'), Martinez (63')
Grujic (31'), Otavio (44')
Jan 15, 2023 8.30pm
gameweek 16
Porto
4-1
Famalicao
Galeno (10', 21'), Otavio (42'), Taremi (48')
Galeno (36'), Wendell (44'), Marcano (55')
Fonte (52')
Junior (57')
Jan 23, 2022 8.30pm
gameweek 19
Porto
3-1
Famalicao
Otavio (25'), Diaz (37'), Taremi (78' pen.)
Uribe (85')
Riccieli (90+1')
Riccieli (38'), Pepe (68'), De La Fuente (80'), Amarildo (90+6')
Aug 15, 2021 6pm
gameweek 2
Famalicao
1-2
Porto
Riccieli (56')
Rodrigues (62'), Jose Gomes Oliveira Tavares (64'), Pepe (74')
Martinez (13', 43')
Costa (62')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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