Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 80.21%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 6.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.08%) and 0-1 (10.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.4%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-0 (2.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Porto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Porto.
Result | ||
Arouca | Draw | Porto |
6.29% | 13.51% | 80.21% |
Both teams to score 40.85% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.07% | 38.93% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.75% | 61.25% |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.23% | 55.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
11.67% | 88.33% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.36% | 7.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.71% | 27.29% |
Score Analysis |
Arouca | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 2.49% 2-1 @ 1.87% Other @ 1.93% Total : 6.29% | 1-1 @ 6.4% 0-0 @ 4.26% 2-2 @ 2.4% Other @ 0.44% Total : 13.51% | 0-2 @ 14.09% 0-3 @ 12.08% 0-1 @ 10.95% 1-2 @ 8.23% 0-4 @ 7.77% 1-3 @ 7.06% 1-4 @ 4.54% 0-5 @ 4% 1-5 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 2.06% 0-6 @ 1.71% 2-4 @ 1.33% 1-6 @ 1% Other @ 3.05% Total : 80.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 75 | 25 | 50 | 65 |
2 | Benfica | 26 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 60 | 21 | 39 | 64 |
3 | Porto | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 50 | 18 | 32 | 58 |
4 | Braga | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 34 | 21 | 53 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 50 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 42 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 34 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 28 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 28 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 28 |
11 | Casa Pia | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 27 |
12 | SC FarenseFarense | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 27 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 25 |
15 | Rio AveRio Ave | 26 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 25 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 23 |
17 | Vizela | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 21 |
18 | ChavesChaves | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 56 | -31 | 19 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |